Sunday’s Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins game features the only AFC East team to win their opening week matchup — but it’s not the team many believe are Super Bowl contenders. That team, the Bills, fell at home last week to open their 2021 season. Meanwhile, the Dolphins went up to New England and took down the Patriots. Miami will now look to win their first two divisional games for the first time since the 2009 season. Let’s take a look at the current NFL odds, the TV channel, how to live stream, and a prediction for the Bills vs. Dolphins Week 2 game.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins odds and prediction for Week 2
Odds from DraftKings sportsbook
Spread: Bills -3.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Bills -190, Dolphins +160
Over/Under: 48.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
The Dolphins come into Sunday’s matchup against the division-rival Bills with a 1-0 record straight up and against the spread after defeating New England as 3-point underdogs last week. Additionally, the Dolphins have covered in each of their last six home games dating back to 2020. The Bills, on the other hand, lost to Pittsburgh last week as home favorites.
As far as the game total goes, both teams saw their Week 1 games go under the projected totals. But historically, that’s not how the battles between these two teams typically go. The over has cashed in each of their last five matchups dating back to 2018.
Bills vs. Dolphins prediction
In Week 1, the Bills did not look like the team we expected them to be. Part of that is because of the talent and execution of the Pittsburgh Steelers defense. But that still does not excuse Josh Allen’s 69.4% on-target percentage, eighth-worst in the NFL last week, according to Pro Football Reference.
Despite outgaining the Steelers by 119 yards, too much sloppy play — 4 fumbles (1 lost), 8 penalties, and, of course, the blocked punt — haunted Buffalo and ultimately cost them.
That kind of mistake-ridden play is uncharacteristic of Sean McDermott’s team. And the Dolphins have recently been the cure for whatever ails the Bills. The Bills are 5-1 against the Dolphins during the Josh Allen era. Allen has been absolutely dominant against Miami, averaging 258 passing yards and 66.7 rushing yards per game while totaling 20 touchdowns (17 passing and 3 rushing).
Meanwhile, most Dolphins fans are still haunted by the images of last year’s Week 17 matchup in Buffalo. Miami had a win-and-in playoff situation that they squandered in an unholy way, falling behind 28-6 by halftime, and ultimately closing their 2020 season with a 56-26 defeat. It’s also still fresh in the players’ minds, as many have spoken about that game this week with the media.
Can the Dolphins get their revenge?
That was last year with a depleted offense and a rookie quarterback still trying to get comfortable. Some would argue that Tua Tagovailoa is still trying to get comfortable, but at least he has many more weapons around him. That said, the Miami offense did not look particularly inspiring last week in New England outside of the first possession of each half.
However, no team gets a shot in the arm from Week 1 to Week 2 like the Dolphins do. Free-agent acquisition Will Fuller V returns from his suspension to make his anticipated debut for Miami. Fuller’s speed and play-making ability will reinforce what is already a dynamic group of pass catchers, at least on paper.
Ultimately, this game will likely come down to the ability of the Miami defense — which only allowed 1 touchdown last week — to keep Allen and the Buffalo offense out of the end zone. The Dolphins do not want to find themselves in a shootout because I suspect they will not be able to keep up, even if Buffalo’s offense didn’t look like it was hitting on all cylinders last week.
Prediction: Bills 30, Dolphins 20
How to watch Bills vs. Dolphins this week
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Start: 1 PM ET
Live streaming options:
Hulu + Live TV
Check with your streaming service to confirm the availability of specific channels.